Chief Editor
  • Prof. Christina Nikolova, PhD
Editorial Board
  • Prof. Christina Nikolova, PhD - UNWE
  • Prof. Elka Todorova, DSc. - UNWE
  • Prof. Maya Lambovska, DSc. - UNWE
  • Assoc. Prof. Todor Nedev, PhD - UNWE
  • Assoc. Prof. Dorina Kabakchieva, PhD - UNWE
  • Assoc. Prof. Paskal Zhelev, PhD - UNWE
Scientific Secretary
  • Assoc. Prof. Aleksandar Valkov, PhD - UNWE
  • Assist. Prof. Veselina Lyubomirova, PhD - UNWE
International Editorial Board
  • Damian Stantchev, PhD
    Edinburgh NAPIER University, UK

  • Ivaylo Vassilev, PhD
    University of Southampton,UK

  • Prof. Irina Kuzmina-Merlino, PhD
    Transport and Telecommunication Institute, Riga

  • Milan Zdravkovic
    University of Niš, Serbia

  • Prof. Niculae Mihaita, PhD
    Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, Romania

  • Prof. Ricardo Jardim-Gonçalves, PhD
    UNINOVA institute, New University of Lisbon, Portugal

  • Prof. Ing. Jaroslav Belás, PhD
    Tomas Bata University in Zlín, Czech Republic

  • Prof. John Rijsman, PhD
    Tilburg University

  • Prof. Ing. Zdenek Dvorák, PhD
    University of Zilina, Slovak Republic

  • Prof. Zoran Cekerevac, PhD
    “Union – Nikola Tesla” University in Belgrade, Serbia

A Need for New Energy Capacities in the Transition to Electric Vehicles in the Period Until 2030
year 2022
Issue 2


Switching to vehicles which use electricity is an irreversible process. It is considered the gradual transition to electric automobiles, and the provision of the needs for available electricity for their operation and use at the end of the period 2030. The following two scenarios are reviewed – of automobile manufacturers and of the stated state policies. According to each of the scenarios, the total number of estimated sales of electric vehicles, by year, is derived. From there, the total number of electric vehicles in the last year of the 2030 period is derived. Reducing the cost of batteries, which are a major component and add about 30 percent of the value of vehicles, will lead to a drastic reduction in the price of the production. For the purposes of this study, it is assumed that by the end of this period, there will be a swicth to the use of new technologies and this will reduce electricity consumption per 100 kilometers by at least 20% . The consumption of the Tesla Model 3 from 2021 of 14.9 kWh / 100 km is taken as a basis and from which, for the needs of this study, is assumed an average consumption in 2030 of 12 kWh for a car.

The average values for the annual runs for 2021 of all types of road motor vehicles, according to their purpose are used.

JEL: L62


Mobility, energy consumption, transport, electric automobiles, growth, batteries
Download YB.2022.2.09.pdf

ISSN (print): 1312-5486
ISSN (online): 2534-8949